The first presidential debate and the aftermath discussions didn’t affect the Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, as he leads in two largest swing states as per the latest polls. According to the first reliable survey conducted by the New York Times and Siena College after the first presidential debate, the former vice president leads in Pennsylvania and Florida against the incumbent president Donald Trump with elections just over a month to go. The polls show Biden has a consistent lead in the two crucial swing states with seven percentage points in Pennsylvania and five percentage points in Florida. Forty-seven percent of them supported Joe Biden compared to 42 percent for Trump in Florida. Similarly, 49 percent supported Biden to 42 percent for Trump in Pennsylvania.
Although neither Siena University nor the New York Times revealed the results, pollster Nate Cohn wrote - “The data provided modestly proves of a shift in favor of Biden in interviews on Friday.” There is still an ongoing poll in Arizona, which is set to be released later this week. Among voters under 30 in Florida, Biden has a massive lead against Trump with 62 percent to 25 percent. When it comes to seniors, the former vice president holds a slight lead of 2 percentage points. Forty-seven percent support Biden to 45 percent for Trump. Compared to 2016 exit polls in Florida, Clinton won the voters under 30 category with 18 percentage points, and Trump won the seniors category with 17 percentage points. However, Biden is way beyond the support Clinton received during the 2016 presidential elections. Among Latino voters, 58 percent of them support Biden, and only 34 percent support Trump. This comes as a shocker for Trump’s campaign even after substantial efforts to appeal to the Florida Latinos. In 2016, Clinton won Florida Latinos with 62 percent to 35 percent.
The survey showed similar results in Pennsylvania as well. Among independents, Biden maintains a lead of 13 points. Biden has almost twice the advantage among voters with college degrees, 60 percent to 31 percent for Trump. A majority of the voters in both the states strongly disapprove of how President Trump conducted himself on the debate night. Fifty-three percent in Florida and 52 percent of voters in Pennsylvania felt the same. A total of 710 likely voters took part in the Florida poll with an error margin of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points. While in Pennsylvania, 706 likely voters were surveyed with an error margin of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.
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